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Your Weekly Wrap Up

Your Weekly Wrap Up

May 16, 2025

This Weeks Investment Data Brief, From
The Distilled Perspective
By Patrick T Bulger, 05/16/2025 3:00pm

This week's thought...I'm not a Doomer, I'm a Truther with nearly 30 years in the chair.
---So, Here we go...
April, Month on Month Housing Permits get Whacked with a -4.7% reading,

This data stream is traditionally volatile and needs to be watched closely for additional downside trend.
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University of Michigan: 
Inflation Expectations come in higher than expected.
Sentiment comes in lower than expected.
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Atlanta Fed GDP Now for the second quarter comes in less than expected...
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Earlier in the week, 
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) 
Housing Market Index (HMI) declined to 34 vs. last month's 40.
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Manufacturing production for April came in at -0.4% vs. 0.4% in March.
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Retail sales came in broadly lower vs. last month.
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NY Empire State Manufacturing and 
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing both remained in negative territory.
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First Quarter Data, Yes...but confirming, simply not forward looking:

The Senior Loan Officer Survey reflected a 
Broad lack of loan demand and a general tightening across lending measures.  

This is viewed as in line with our data of a slowing economic picture.

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