Are Economic Issues Increasing? A Quick Broad Macro Update and
A Hormuz Update •Escalation & Expansion - Ships Not Passing
From The Distilled Perspective of Patrick T Bulger, Capital Management & Analytics
What's the Hormuz Update?
- For multiple days now, the number of ships passing the Strait of Hormuz are back to the 10 to 20 area. Recall, normal was 100+ (Source: Windward)
- Now Add: The Strait of al Bab-Mandeb & hostilities from Yemen.
- That makes Two Friction points on an already stressed global supply chain.
What'sThe Quick Macro Summary?
I see in the data, what appears to be:
- Escalation & expansion, Bab al-Mandab Strait, Red Sea & Yamen
- No supply chain solution, issues expanding
- Damaged infrastructure
- No conflict solution
- Collateral flights to safety
- Korea & Japan (high) volatility
- AI Compute & Cost Rug Pull
- Leverage issues
I have an outside feeling that there is more to this story.
Was the weekend bluster covering and event?
• Final Wrap:
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Best,
PTB
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