First Zombie or First Brands: Are Credit Issues The New Market Storm?
From the Distilled Perspective of Patrick T Bulger Analytics
*Originally released on LinkedIn, Tuesday 10/14/2025
The Problem: Credit and Collateralization
First Brands’ layered web of debt bundling and offloading has a toxic look.
Your plan for "up" is irrelevant, if you don't have a data-driven plan for "down."
Are you relying on hope, or institutional-grade data?
This appears as an evolving picture, very reminiscent of past credit issues.
• Spreads that are normally muted are showing stress.
• Global Collateral Clamber has remained from last week.
• Risk opposition data remains robust.
The View:
Anyone saying, “What’s Good on the Way Up is Good on the Way Down” May be in need of review.
The current risks demand attention:
• Deteriorating China Trade Dialog with the US and our allies.
• Who holds the bag when the music stops?
• I see global flight to safety.
What Should You Do Now?
This is not a time for guesswork, but for disciplined analysis.
Reach out for a conversation about:
• Risk Comprehension and Positioning.
• The Math of Loss/Breakeven.
• A Plan to Efficiently Compound Your Capital, over time & through all conditions.
🎯 Action: Delegate the Complex. Maximize Efficiency
Visit the bio and blog, then,
Click the "Ask" button to start a data-driven conversation about your capital.
Thanks for your visit,
PTB