Broker Check

Economic & Portfolio Risk

September 02, 2026

Your Food & Global Supply Matter, Your Mid-Week Update

from The Distilled Perspective of Patrick T Bulger, Capital Management & Analytics

Your view of supply as, "Take It for Granted, It will be there, because it always has been", 
May become a disruptive issue.

UKRAINE'S GRAIN EXPORTS FALL TO 981,000 METRIC TONS IN AUGUST 2026 FROM 2.35 MILLION TONS IN AUGUST 2025 - FARM MINISTRY
8:47 AM · Sep 2, 2026
(Source: FirstSquawk)

•    As I've shared with you before, Global Food Infrastructure 
is becoming an issue, Issues with fertilizer, fuel & crops, are now in the news.

•    Our Problems are in the Now-Term:
Note: Venezuela looks to be a longer term positive with
Near term liquidity finance as a potential tightening.

•    Note, Financing, planning, zoning, raw material, infrastructure upgrade & procurement are not immediate items. 
•    Add to the list, the liquidity finance as a potential tightening from AI.

These are not economic helicopter capital distributions.
Adjust accordingly.

•    Is Oil the Issue? 
It appears as: Not the issue.

•    What is the Issue?
Distillates, Infrastructure Damage & more: I would now consider them, Old News (See Blog & Prior Posts).
I see Supply Chains under stress.
I see Hawkishness with supporting data. 
I see potential tightening.

•    Bonus, Data Matters:
When ratios decline in a balanced fashion, 
They may not reveal accurate underlying information.  
•    Ex. If supply and demand are declining simultaneously, 
You could have a ratio that appears stable, yet, you may be hiding a less than quality condition.  

The Basics that you should know:

I do not believe in “Just showing up”
If you value a professional that doesn't punch a clock or 
Put your capital on a conveyer belt:

I manager your portfolio for you
I walk with you, through the planning process
My goal is to be your trusted source in the world of noise that we call Investment & Planning.

  • I exist at the intersection of:

1) Investment, Data, Risk, Portfolio Assembly & Management
2) Business 
3) Behavioral Development as it relates to Decision Making, 

So you don't have to &
So you can be more informed in your business decisions,
While Living Your Life, Your Way

  • I only work with:

Emotionally matured, Non-Toxic, 
Decision makers that understand scale through delegation

If that’s you,
Reach out to start a conversation that could improve your views,  
Simply hit the "Ask" button.

Thanks for your time.

Best, 
PTB

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